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Household Budgets under Pressure: Inflation, Interest Rate Taking Their Bite

Posted on 28 Sep 2024, 12:00 AM 99

Growing Mortgage Stress

A larger proportion of homeowners are unable to service their mortgage debts. Loan debts have creeped up since the end of 2022, both for those with high loan-to-value or loan-to-income ratios and for putting them more vulnerable to any downside pressure in the economy.

Defaults, though, have not surged as sharply among first-time buyers or those with low-rate loans, despite moving to higher rates.

Financial Security Intact

Although total debt levels are rising, the risk to financial stability is low; a mere 0.9% of outstanding home loans by amount are at least 90 days overdue. Lenders have been taking forceful measures to implement emergency programs for distressed borrowers, allowing most to continue making their mortgage payments as hardship letters have increased relatively marginally since 2022.

Negative Equity Still Rare

Negative equity, or a situation where the balance of debt exceeds the value of the property, still holds true for only about 0.5% of the transactions. In these circumstances, some distressed owners were able to sell the property, thus repaying the loan in full.

Cash Flow Challenges Remain

Some borrowers face severe cash flow pressures as their core costs plus mortgage repayments outweigh their incomes. Most of them have thus had to rely on savings or selling assets or extra jobs to get by.

Despite all these, most borrowers continue to meet their mortgage repayments-most of the time drawing down their savings, while keeping mortgage buffers.

A Bright Future

The RBA hopes that such tax cuts and a decrease in inflation might ease some of the pressure on the family budget in the last half of 2024, perhaps even leading to fewer borrowers who experience cash flow problems by 2026.

Navigating Economic Uncertainty

While uncertainty over inflation, interest, and unemployment threatens family finances, most borrowers would ride out the economic storm. Banks have had enough resources to tread through recessions, given the healthy share of equity held and judicious lending.

The Importance of Frugal Borrowing

Responsible borrowing and lending will play the most significant role in retaining long-term financial safety for families. If credit markets are maintained to be disciplined, several risks can be kept away from broader economic disruptions that might engulf family equity and stability.

Need Help? OM Financials is Here for You!

If rising inflation and interest rates are pushing the biggest bill of all-mortgage payments-you have to consider your available options. Our experts at OM Financials are eager to coach you on such financial stress. Whether from failing to manage loan payments, negative equity, or the simple imperative of prudent financial advice, we listen and offer our support.

Don't wait—reach OM Financials today for a free no-obligation consultation. We are going to take charge of your finances tomorrow!

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